2011 – Tablet competition heating up for second position?

Recently quite a few tablets are announced at CES 2011 and most of the predictions are that we will see these tablets in consumer’s hands this year. This reminds me the CES 2011 when everyone was expecting a tablet from Apple and a number of companies announced their own plans for tablets in 2010. Nothing materialised really in 2010 but 2011 is poised to be a different year because of advances of technology and also a viable market for tablets which is currently dominated by Apple. With a keen interest in tablets I want to know how the market will shape up when all these tablets are launched.

I wrote a few months back that why iPad will be a winner regardless of the emerging competition. That prediction was based upon Apple’s first mover advantage, product development theory and brand recognition. Lets see whether Apple can whether this new competition?

More exciting challengers to iPad are Motorola Xoom, Blackberry Playbook and Toshiba Tablet. There are also some more tablets from Samsung, Asus, MSI etc which will be running Windows 7 as well as a HP tablet which will be running on WebOS. Out of these Motorola, Toshiba and Blackberry’s offerings have gathered a lot of positive press. Blackberry has a considerable market in smart phones and with the launch of its app store last year, it has offered its customers a good channel to purchase applications. Motorola and Toshiba will be relying on the strengths of Android and its app store. Google which develops Android is poised to launch version 3.0 (honeycomb) of Android in the first quarter of this year and is also rapidly increasing the capabilities of its app store.

All of these companies has taken a note of Apple’s success in developing an ecosystem of its products and various channels such as app store which has become a key winning factor. This is why Google, Blackberry, Nokia and Microsoft has launched their own app stores for smart phones and are now extending those to tablets.

iPad is at the crucial stage of its life cycle and I believe as the market is ready to be exploded in this segment, iPad has all the chance to move from early adaptors to the mainstream users with the launch of its iPad 2 later this year. I believe iPad will still dominate the market because its designers and developers has the most experience in the market and they will be able to offer the most polished experience to users. No doubt the companies such as Blackberry, Motorola, Toshiba, Microsoft all will be offering very powerful tablets, but the hardware specifications will not be the only factor in success. In order to reach to the mass market beyond techies they need to offer a simple and intuitive experience and that is where I think Apple will dominate.

I think the competition will be fierce in tablet market but that competition will be for the second position and iPad will keep its domination by just adding enough muscles to it iPad and offering more features.

Can Google’s Nexus One break the Apple’s iPhone dominance?

There was a lot of excitement in technology world about the launch of Nexus One, the Google’s much heralded smart phone device which was launched on 5th of January 2010 just before the start of CES 2010. A great phone on paper, this phone boasts specifications that can easily beat iPhone such as replaceable battery, better camera, faster CPU etc. This phone was developed by Google where the HTC was responsible for engineering and manufacturing the device. It runs Google’s popular Android OS which also has a growing list of applications to neutralize the Apple’s iTunes store. So with all of these developments, is 2010 is the year when Google can give Apple a good competition in the smart phone market and takes away some of the market share from iPhone? No I don’t think so, and there are my reasoning behind this answer.

First it is just a start for Google to enter into the mobile phone market. Just like every market and business the mobile phone market has its own dynamics where support and compatibility among other cool features are important aspects of the consumer requirements. Google either needed to offer this phone through the established telcos or needs to partner with another vendor to make support available to end users closure to the targeted markets. So far the Nexus One is launched in US with offerings in other countries expected later this year. Google has opted for both options as the phone is available through T-Mobile at this time in US on contract as well as available to buy standalone from Google’s website. Looking at the Google forums it seems that many users are frustrated about a lack of support information available to troubleshoot phone issues. A quick search on Google gave me a link to HTC website dedicated for Nexus One users. This site seems to have step by step information about using the phone and its operating system (i.e. Android). A good effort but by no means it can be compared against the maturity of the support and information offered by Apple’s iPhone.

Second reason for my belief is the brand identity. Google has great reputation in software making but most of it’s applications have a minimalist design and remain in beta for much of their product life span. It took several years for Google to get to this position where it is known for making innovating software products. Similarly it will have to consistently and regularly offer better, reliable and innovative phone products if it wants to take on Apple who has built its brand by consistently inventing innovative products and creating new product markets (read iPod, iPhone, iTunes etc). I don’t currently see Google’s brand standing for making good phones and neither I rate HTC as much I rate Apple.

Third and very important reason is the eco-system which Apple has created over years through iPod and iTunes store. These were highly successful products even before the introduction of iPhone. iPhone naturally extended the reach of iTunes to wireless and provided real benefits to end users. iPhone is seamlessly integrated within this eco-system which many companies in recent times have tried to copy but have failed to achieve the same level of success as Apple. Also by keeping a tight control over iPhone applications, Apple makes sure that all applications meet the UI and other criteria set by Apple which translates into a streamlined, expected and smooth experience for iPhone users. Google has developed its own version of app store which is called Android Market. Android market offers more flexibility to software developers as compared to Itunes app store which is tightly controlled by Apple. However loose control also has its own pitfalls such as potential for malware and unidentified security flaws coming into Android applications.

This is why I believe that Nexus One is a good attempt but to compete against iPhone Google needs to tick many more boxes.

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