Why iPad is a winner and why eeePad and windPad are going to lose?
03/06/2010 Leave a comment
Asus and MSI has yesterday announced their foray into the emerging tablet market by announcing two tablets each called eeePad and windPad respectively. Each will have one tablet for each Android and Windows 7 where Android based tablet will be 20% cheaper than the Windows 7 based tablet. According to the product manager of MSI, they are convinced that consumers want a product in a sub $500 segment with more computing options.
This announcement from Asus and MSI gives me an impression that they are trying to take advantage of the hype created by iPad. They are trying to extend their EeePc and Wind brands into tablets and hoping to benefit from the initial success of iPad and the potential market which iPad has created for tablets. But their focus on below $500 and choice of features sounds a bad decicion to me.
In this blog I will explain further why so.
By offering a tablet each with Android and Windows 7 both of these companies are indicating that they are not sure which OS is the best choice or they have not done their market research properly. By claiming that consumers want the features of a PC in a tablet shell, and pitching their products against iPad, they are clearly unaware of the positioing of iPad. iPad has never claimed to offer the features of a PC. Neither it has the features of a phone. The choice of two operating systems will increase the cost of after sale service and support for Asus and MSI. This will have a direct impact on the bottom line which will already be thin due to higher production costs during the introduct phase of product life cycle (also remember that these tablets will have more features compared to iPad).
By moving first into this tablet market (so far more than 2 million iPads have been sold) Apple will be able to grab a bigger market share of this market. They have a very strong brand and are associated with innovations. They have offered a core iPad product which they can easily augment with some more features such as camera or usb port if there is serious competition. The price of iPad is higher which will give healthy margins to Apple. As the scale of production will grow the fixed costs will become a lower fraction of the costs of iPad and Apple will be able to drop the price and further boost the production. Any competitor such as Asus or MSI who enters at this stage into this market will face annihilation. Apple will have the choice of reducing the price of current iPad and offer a new augmented version of iPad at a higher price point.
Given that both Asus and MSI are targeting the sub $500 segment with more features means that their profit margins will be lower and ultimately they will be commoditizing their products themselves. Because they will not have the economies of scale due to late entry, they will face the dilemma of high production cost and lower prices and will be unable to compete against Apple. Their only bet will be against other non-Apple customers to get some market share. But none of these players will have any competitive advantage.
This is classic case of first mover advantage which Apple has got and now the competitors will play the game Apple wants them to play.